At -106 odds in this weekend s NFL Week 16 teaser predictions we ve bet down the Bills to -2.5, turned the Bengals and Bucs into +7.5 underdogs and turned the Ravens into big double-digit underdogs as well.
NFL Week 16 Teaser Picks
I ve created this teaser by choosing alternate spreads at DraftKings, but you should be able to do so at most . Though some books may not allow for as much movement in the lines as DK.
Bills vs Chargers
Pick: Bills -2.5
No matter how you use the Bills in your Week 16 parlays and teasers they have to make an appearance in some form. They re favored by double-digits in the so the teaser route may offer a little better value than the moneyline for these picks.
Of course no two teams have looked worse or better in the past week. The Chargers got completely boat-raced in Las Vegas last Thursday. The final scoreline looks bad enough at 63-21, but those 21 points were meaningless as they came after the game was 49-0. The 63 points allowed was the most the Chargers had given up in team history. Brandon Staley s time was coming after the Chargers also put up 7, 6 and ten points in their previous games as well, and this loss did him in.
Can an interim head coach, Giff Smith, no Justin Herbert and no Keenan Allen (injured), derail the suddenly surging Buffalo Bills? Doubtful.
Buffalo is at the other end of the ledger coming off wins over the Chiefs and then Cowboys last week. Josh Allen was barely needed in throwing for just 94 yards and one touchdown in their 31-10 route of Dallas. Instead James Cook ran all over the Cowboys for 179 yards. Allen, third in passing touchdowns this season with 26, could have a field day though this week versus a Chargers secondary ranked 30th versus the pass and that just allowed Aidan O Connell to throw for four touchdowns.
Bengals vs Steelers
Pick: Bengals +7.5
Since losing to Pittsburgh 16-10 in Jake Browning s debut as a starter, these teams have gone in completely opposite directions. The Bengals have won their next three games and have scored 34, 34 and 27 points. In those wins, Browning has a combined 954 passing yards and five touchdowns.
The Steelers have gone the otehr way losing three games and have only scored 10, 18 and 13 points in those defeats.
They re now down to third-string quarterback Mason Rudolph who has only played in 18 games in his career.
Mike Tomlin is usually money as a dog, a spot where he s 55-31-3 ATS but the Steelers seven wins this season have all come by under one score and never by more than seven points. I don t see Rudolph changing those and will take Cincinnati as part of my Week 16 teaser picks.
Jaguars vs Buccaneers
Pick: Buccaneers +7.5
The Bucs are a teaser players dream as they play in many close games. And generally, they either win, or lose close. Last week they did win big, 34-20 in Green Bay, now putting them first in the NFC South. That puts them on a three-game winning streak, though the other two wins were only by four and three points over the Falcons and Panthers respectively.
In their losses, they ve lost by 7, 13, 2, 6, 3, 14 and 14 points, with the bigger defeats coming versus top teams like Detroit, Philadelphia and San Francisco.
The Jaguars are 8-6 and lead their division themselves, so could also be considered a top team, though still not quite as good as those other three. And, they come in losers of three straight, 23-7 versus the Ravens last week and 31-27 and 34-31 versus the Browns and Bengals in the games prior.
Starting quarterback Trevor Lawrence sustained a concussion last game and is still in concussion protocol as of Friday so it looks like CJ Beathard will be getting the start. An unlikely recipe for a big Jags win.
Never thought i d say this but THANK GOD for Baker Mayfield By far the best QB in the NFC South:
Mayfield 24 TDs 8 INTs
Carr 16 TDs 7 INTs
Ridder 10 TDs 10 INTs
Young 9 TDs 9 INTs
And at $4Million + incentives contract, what a steal!
The Dynasty Grill (@FFDynastyGrill)
Ravens vs 49ers
Pick: Ravens +14.5
The Ravens only have three losses on the year, none in their past four games and only by 2, 7 and 3 points.
They average 27.4 PPG (4th) and have scored over 30 points in six of their past eight games.
One of the three teams Baltimore is behind in scoring is San Fran, who average 30.4 PPG (3rd). You can say the same thing about the 49ers of late when it comes to scoring in that they ve won six straight, have scored 34, 27, 31, 42, 28 and 45 points while doing so and have won by 31, 13, 18, 23, 12 and 16 points in those games.
But the Ravens have spent 90-percent of the season either tied or leading and have led in the final two minutes of every single game this season.
This is an instance where whichever team was the underdog would likely create good teaser opportunities. In this case it s the Ravens. Plus Lamar Jackson has excelled in that role being 11-2 ATS as an underdog, while Baltimore overall is 20-4-1 ATS as a dog in their past 25 games.
Week 16 NFL Teaser picks: Bills -2.5 / Bengals +7.5 / Buccaneers +7.5 / Ravens +14.5 (-106); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Season record: 15-15, -1.08 units
ESPN BET
Get a $1,000 Bet Reset, 50 Free Bonus Spins, and 24-Hour Insurance
Must manually enter promo code DIME to claim offer.
CODE: DIMECODE: DIMESIGNUP OFFERUSE PROMO CODE
DIME
FIRST BET RESET UP TO $1,000
